While I still like JDS' chances to beat up Brock on his feel, I think that Brock has a better chance against JDS than he did against his lopsided a**kicking by Cain Velasquez.
My reasoning is this:
1. As a top HW collegiate wrestler, Cain's double leg takedown defense, and TDD in general, is as good as it gets in the HW division. When Lesnar did take him down, Cain got right back up. How many guys are good enough to get back up with Brock on them? Maybe one - CV.
2. JDS' is a longer, leaner guy who's TDD isn't as good as Cains...Brock has better chance of taking him down and keeping him on the ground. Again, JDS won't get up as easily as Cain did if he gets taken down.
3. JDS likes high kicks and knees more than Cain, who pretty much relies on solid boxing and low kicks, and never really left himself open alot of takedowns with high kicks/knees.
JDS has to throw down to get Brock into his "duck and cover" mode. If he does it'll look like the CV fight, but I think Brock's got a better chance at beating JDS than he ever will against CV.
The wrestling pedigree is really the big attribute. Can't buy that experience or learn from it overnight. Crazy thing is, he still got taken down, BUT was able to pop back up TWICE.
I see Lesnar taking JDS down and it all depends on how good JDS is working off his back, if he can get back up like Cain did, then he has a shot. Anways, I see Brock taking this.
Brock WILL get a takedown in any fight, the question is whether that fighter can get back up.
True, very true. Did it against a black belt practitioner in Mir, fellow wrestler in Carwin albeit winded, and against Cain. When Brock took Cain down, he had a beautiful butterfly guard so Brock wasn't able to get the position he wanted. In that split second Cain popped right back up. I guarantee Dave Camarillo trained that with Cain over and over.
Man I just thought of something. If Brock is fit and does that for all five rounds and JDS doesn't get up it could be a long night. I'm still going with my original prediction from two years ago that JDS will still meet Cain Velasquez to determine who is the ONE. The disparity between Brock's takedown/GNP vs his striking is too large of a gap. His wrestling probably is one of the best in MMA and it's enabled him to win at this level. "IF" he had mediocre striking he'd still fair well like Demian Maia, Jacare, Gonzaga (lack of quality training partners, his conditioning/bad game planning led to his downfall), or Werdum. In that respect he is not a true MMA fighter. He's a wrestler fighting in an MMA setting. Very similar to Matt Hughes where he does one thing and one thing extremely well. Takedowns + GNP. GSP has a wide array of arsenal and can strike if necessary. In fact that's his background; Karate. All in all it's going to be a very interesting fight. I don't think it'll last more than two rounds.
PS: I knew JDS trained at Blackhouse, but what I didn't know was that Anderson Silva is listed as his official trainer along with Big Nog of course.