Join Date: May 2006
Location: New York City, New York
Alot of UFC commentators said that Lutter's style was the style that could beat Silva. I said, even before the fight, that that kind of comment was ridiculous from a lagistical standpoint and on paper.
As far as paper goes, Marquardt doesn't match up any better, because Anderson gets almost all of his wins standing up and he has never really been stopped on his feet, unless you count his 1 DQ.
In the cages, Marquardt is a much better matchup and here is why:
His standup is heavyhanded, but precise. While his precision isn't on the level of Thai excellence that we seen in Anderson Silva, it is probably the next most accurate striking the UFC middleweight division has to offer right now.
Anderson may never have been stopped on his feet, but he hasn't really fought many great standup fighters. Marquardt probably has the best standup of any fighter in the UFC middleweight division, but probably also the world.
While Anderson seems to have alot of power for a striker, because of his KO's of Leben and Franklin, it's probably not as good as we think. There is alot of question about the condition of Franklin at the fight, but even with that said, he ate knees. The power of taking knees to the face, which is really where Silva finished Leben and Franklin, isn't going to sneak up on Marquardt. Marquardt has more training in dealing with knees than Leben and will certainly be more able to get away from them than Franklin was.
Marquardt has power that can KO pretty much anybody, with his hands. He is also smart enough to judge distance and get inside of his zone while keeping Anderson from just jabbing at him the whole fight. There is one thing that Marquardt does better than anyone else, and that's control distance in a fight. Its also what Silva does, but, in my opinion, Marquardt does it better and has an easier job because he is only thinking in one dimension and with one stike.
Anderson is going to have two big strategies, which are pretty much typical Thai. He's going to stay outside and try and jab, but if Marquardt comes inside (like Leben and Franklin did) he's going to try to clinch. The difference is Marquardt isn't going to shoot or clinch, also. He's not going to get that close. Marquardt is going to try to get a inside the range of Anderson's jabs and nail him with a few punches for the TKO.
It's going to be a great fight, but if I have to pick a winner I'm taking Nate The Great. He should have been UFC middleweight champion a long time ago.
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