Where Couture is concerned, Machida NEEDS to keep distance and just pepper him with shots. No doubt Machida has a good base and coupled with his footwork this lets him keep the fight standing, but unlike Lyoto's past opponents, Couture will be looking primarily for the takedown.
Lyoto's clinch work is good, especially in a moving clinch he manages to land many shots very quickly, mainly knees. On the fence though he is quite inactive and if Randy can get him there he will be working relentlessly, with little risk of taking damage.
I believe Chinzo Machida said that although Lyoto has a good BJJ game, he needs to strongly avoid hitting the mat with Couture and avoid the clinch. I think Lyoto has great TDD but Couture can make it a grappling match without it hitting the ground, he can make Lyoto too wary of tying up, cut him off and make him uncomfortable. A war of will. Rampage did it because Machida was wary of his hands, Couture doesn't pose that problem but he poses bigger problems against the fence, where Rampage managed to put Machida several times, and from there he landed quite a few strikes and even secured a takedown.
Last edited by SM33; 04-24-2011 at 10:28 AM.