Almost forgot to answer my own question.
I could see Chuck coming out early and getting some decent shots in and stuffing Hendos takedowns. As the fight would progress however I imagine Chuck would tire himself out by going for the kill at the end of some vicoius exchages and having to deal with Hendos relentless takedown attempts. The fifth round would be all Hendo as that is when he would score his only takedown of the fight on a completely gassed but still winging Chuck and ground and pound him till the buzzer a 10-8 round.
Iceman by UD 48-46
Both men looking as bad as they ever have.
I've sat through the entire Gracie Sakuraba fight... can I consider myself a hardcore MMA fan yet?