After he losses to Aldo, he will probably have the chance to work his way toward one more title shot at FW, but I dont think he will ever hold the belt. Even if he did somehow manage to pull off a crazy upset, he has zero chance of beating Mendes. The guys wrestling isnt terrible, but it is nowhere near top tier. People use the Guida fight as an example, but I think his first fight at 145 was more telling. He got taken down multiple times by a guy that was much smaller then him and doesnt specialize in wrestling. Nunes has good wrestling, but it isnt anyhing amazing. I dont think moving down a weight class was the right move. Sure it got Florian a title shot, but Aldo does everything much better. At least Florian had an edge in a couple departments when it came to the guys at the top at 155.