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OK, fellas, had a decent run at UFC 104, let's try to keep the drive alive! I'm basing these bets on my usual sportsbook (click there for the odds)

I'm pretty set on:

RANDY COUTURE -120 over Brandon Vera: I just think Randy will outsmart Vera, get inside his range, pin him against the cage and do his Greco-Roman + dirty boxing like he did to Gonzaga.

MIKE SWICK -220 over Dan hardy: Nothing against Hardy but I just don't think he's in Swick's class. Swick can totally hang with him on the feet but has a longer reach and is better on the ground...all Hardy can do on the ground is "survive" like he did against Marcus Davis.

The one fight I'm really unsure about is...

Michael Bisping (-115) vs Denis Kang (-115)

I think people are giving up on Bisping too quickly based on the one knockout from Hendo...he's a bigger fighter, strong than Kang I think. But I also think Kang is a better finisher, more dangerous, underrated. I'm TORN! Any advice here?

Also -- I'm all over James Wilks in the upset. The guy impressed the hell outta me at the TUF finale.
 

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I like 1) Randy @ 1.85, 2) Kang @ 1.8.

Both are somewhat risky bets but they yield a nice return imo. Good bets.

I don't like Swick or Hardy.
 

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I don't think Couture is a risky bet at all. What has Vera done that is worth noting? Beat Mir after his crash and was in a horrible state... Outside of that he hasn't beaten a top tier fighter.

I think I am going to throw a little bit down on Hardy, I have this weird feeling he is going to pull off the upset. Mainly because that would really screw up the welterweight division even more...

I am leaning Bisping over Kang. I think he extra reach along with speed will win him the fight. He was doing decently against Henderson except he kept circling like an idiot. I think that loss is going to push him up a notch though.
 

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I took Vera I just think he is younger and going to take it to Couture in this fight.

Couldnt decide between Bisbing and Kang

My site gave me really good odds to take Ross Pearson and James Wilkes. I think they are both going to win I dunno why there such underdogs.

Took Swick also
 

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A game Kang should wreck Bisping but to be honest at even odds I think Kang is to inconsistent to garner a wager, but if the Brits push the odds (which I would expect) to make him the underdog a small wager on Kang would be good.
 

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I wouldn't bet the Randy fight. Vera will have 3 rounds to drop and finish him before randy can get in close. Nog was able to connect on a lot of shots and Vera is way better at striking than Nog. I think Swick will win but only about 60% confident. To me Kang over Bisping is the safest pick. I think Kang is better than him in every aspect of the game. I don't see Bisping being able to submit or even T/KO him. The only way Bisping gets it is by jab and run decision but Kang is too good for that. I have quiet a few parleys all resting in Kang's and BJ Penn's hands.
 

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^^^THIS^^^

Im scared Vera will catch Randy or even in the clinch just explode with some knee's and catch Randy.....

Not touchin this fight cuz you know Randy has a solid gameplan for Vera too....
 

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You are a very good fight handicapper from previous posts so I bow to your greater knowledge about these fights but I think Couture is finished IMHO. Does ufc have a manditory retirement age? Vera has the skill and if he is training hard I don't see why he can't beat him. Couture was dominated by Nog, no offense but Nog has only recently looked good against Couture. I could see a string of loses for Couture rivalying Iceman, although not by unconsiousness. Vera was overrated and lazy but he seems to be a tad underrated now and much more focused.
 
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